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‘Dr. Doom’ Nouriel Roubini: ‘Worst-case scenarios appear to be the least likely.’ For now.

Por: MarketWatch Politics January 08, 2024

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One therefore must approach any 2024 forecast with humility. Still, the basic task is the same: start with a baseline, an upside, and a downside scenario, and then assign time-varying probabilities to each. The current baseline for many, though not all, economists and analysts is a soft landing: advanced economies — starting with the United States — avoid a recession, but growth is below potential and inflation continues to fall toward the... + full article



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