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Investors Know an Inverted Yield Curve Signals a Recession. They’re Looking Past One.

Por: MarketWatch Business July 01, 2023

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An inverted yield curve can signal that investors expect higher rates or economic risk in the near term. An inverted curve has preceded every U.S. recession since the 1950s. The yield on the two-year Treasury note is more than a percentage point higher than on the 10-year note, the largest gap since Silicon Valley Bank failed in March. An inversion this big hasn’t happened since the high inflation, rising rates, and recessions of the 1970s and... + full article



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