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The drop in expected S&P earnings is in the sweet spot for big stock-market gains over the next 12 months

Por: MarketWatch Politics October 03, 2022

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The relevant data (courtesy of Ned Davis Research) are plotted in this chart. Notice that the market’s highest annualized return over the last century—25%—has been produced when the S&P 500’s year-over-year change in four-quarter EPS has been in a range from 20% lower to just 5% higher. With the exception of when this rate of change is less than minus 20%, there is an inverse relationship between earnings growth rates and the market’s... + full article



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